Muskeology
Frontier tech, minus the hype

AI & Compute

Models, chips, data centres and the claims that outrun them.

Detailed view of a server rack with a focus on technology and data storage.

AI & Compute

What to actually worry about with AI

A great deal of the risk discussion is about scenarios, and a shorter list of problems is already causing measurable harm.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read

AI & Compute

Where AI systems actually fail in production

Not in the model. In the data pipeline, the distribution shift, the feedback loop and the assumption that the world stays still.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read

AI & Compute

Evaluating an AI product claim

A short checklist for reading announcements, which mostly consists of asking what was measured and against what.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read

AI & Compute

Training data, copyright and the unresolved question

Models are trained on text and images their creators did not license, several jurisdictions disagree about whether that matters, and the courts are still working.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read

AI & Compute

How models are actually deployed

Serving a model in production is a systems problem — batching, caching, routing and cost — and it looks nothing like running one on a laptop.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read

AI & Compute

What a GPU actually does, and why it is scarce

Matrix multiplication in parallel, memory bandwidth as the real bottleneck, and a supply chain with a single point of concentration.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read

AI & Compute

Benchmarks and what they fail to measure

A score on a public test set tells you about the test set. Contamination, saturation and construct validity all get in the way.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read

AI & Compute

Why AI needs so much electricity

Training is a large one-off cost. Inference is a small cost repeated an enormous number of times, and it is the one that scales with success.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read

AI & Compute

What a large language model is actually doing

Next-token prediction at scale, which explains both the capability and the failure modes better than any metaphor about thinking.

Tobias Nkemelu··3 min read